A recent analysis of predicting the frequency and formation zones of tropical cyclones using analogous years, with conditions similar to 2024, revealed that this year there is a high risk of a cyclone impacting the Yucatan Peninsula.
Meteorologist Juan Antonio Palma Solís, coordinator of Meteored, warns that in the region there will be a high probability of cyclonic formation this season.
The Atlantic hurricane season officially begins on June 1 and ends on November 30, but its intensity can vary depending on sea temperature and other factors.
In this regard, Palma Solís points out that as we approach the start of the 2024 hurricane season, an intense and explosive scenario becomes clearer.
“Recent analyzes raise the possibility of a high risk of tropical cyclone impact in our area”
It indicates that an analysis was recently carried out in which past years that coincide with the atmospheric and oceanic characteristics that we experience in 2024 were selected to determine the areas with the greatest probability of formation and greatest traffic.
According to the specialist, the analysis highlights a probable greater frequency of cyclonic formation and traffic in the western area of the Caribbean, just north of Central America and east of the Yucatan Peninsula.
Likewise, he continues, a similar situation is observed in the Bay of Campeche.
“Other areas where a greater frequency of tropical cyclones stands out are the eastern Caribbean Sea and the central Atlantic, as well as the south of Chiapas and Oaxaca.”
“This means that as far as our region is concerned, the analysis suggests that during this 2024 tropical cyclone season there could be a greater frequency of tropical cyclone formation and traffic in an area of very high risk for our region. territory “.
“If the natural trajectories of these systems are towards the West or Northwest, having greater formation in the western Caribbean area significantly increases the risk of a tropical cyclone impact on the Yucatan Peninsula.”
“It is important to be aware of the warnings and recommendations issued by the corresponding authorities, once the hurricane season begins and some type of cyclonic threat occurs in the area.”
TYT Newsroom
