A little over a month before the elections in the country, there is a close fight in at least 4 of the 9 governorships that will be in dispute on June 2, with less than 5 percentage points of difference between first and second place. in the most recent Massive Caller surveys.
The survey conducted on April 28 reveals that in two states there is an advantage of more than 10 points in favor of first place and in the remaining 3 the leaders have an advantage that can also be considered clear, although not as wide.
As is known, on June 2 there will be elections for governor in Yucatán, Mexico City, Veracruz, Tabasco, Puebla, Morelos, Jalisco, Guanajuato, and Chiapas.
The states where the fight is close are Mexico City, where first and second place has a difference of only 3.1 percentage points; Veracruz, with a difference of only 0.9 points; Puebla, 4.4, and Morelos, 2.2 points.
It is striking that these four states are governed by the so-called Fourth Transformation since 3 are governed by Morena and one by the Partido Encuentro Social (PES) in Morelos, so there is a risk of losing them.
It should be noted that three of these states are among the most populated in the country, and therefore among those with the most voters:
Mexico City has 9.2 million inhabitants; Veracruz has 8 million; Puebla, has 6.5 million, and the smallest is Morelos, with 1.9 million, according to Inegi data from 2020.
The two states where the leader in the Massive Caller survey has an advantage of more than 10 points are Tabasco, with a 17.8 percentage point difference, and Chiapas, with a 16.6 percentage point advantage, both entities governed by Morena.
In the three remaining governorships in dispute the difference is the following: Yucatán, the leader has an advantage of 7.9 points over the second place; Jalisco, a difference of 8 points, and Guanajuato, 7.5 points. Massive Caller’s research was conducted through 1,000 surveys conducted with a margin of error of +/-3.4%. They were collected using recordings sent to homes that were answered by the interviewees themselves.
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