After a brief spurt of activity, the tropics were quiet once again, according to the 8 a.m. ET advisory from the National Hurricane Center.
By 2 p.m., the quiet was over, with a new tropical wave showing up on the NHC outlook map. Several other tropical waves were mentioned by forecasters but don’t appear on the outlook map.
“We will be on the lookout for another weak system that could try to develop in the southwestern Gulf of Mexico around the start of July,” AccuWeather Lead Tropical Meteorologist Alex DaSilva said.
“But, just like the system from Saturday to Sunday, it will not have much time to develop before being pushed into northeastern Mexico.”
When is tropical activity expected to increase?
“After the flurry of tropical activity dies down and the mid-summer lull occurs, AccuWeather meteorologists forecast that the Atlantic will become a hotbed later in the summer and into the fall with a bumper crop of tropical storms and hurricanes.”
Every forecast for the 2024 Atlantic hurricane season is predicting an above-normal season. The average number of named storms in a season is 14. AccuWeather forecasters have gone as far as saying 2024 could break the record of 30 named storms.
The presence of La Niña is a big factor in why every forecasting agency has been predicting a very active Atlantic hurricane season this year.
It doesn’t help we’re seeing record warm water temperatures in the Atlantic, which also provide fuel for tropical cyclones.
NOAA said May 2024 was the 14th consecutive month of record-warm global ocean temperatures.
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