The hurricane season is in a false calm that will soon end, warned meteorologist Juan Vázquez Montalvo of the Institutional Committee for the Attention of Extreme Meteorological Phenomena (Ciafeme) of the Autonomous University of Yucatán.
Things will change from approximately August 10, when the second phase of the 2024 tropical cyclone season begins to reactivate gradually. Everything indicates that it will be hyperactive and hazardous, the expert said.
The specialist explained that we are in a false calm because the Madden-Julian phase does not favor the formation of cyclones in the Atlantic.
It is in a divergent phase. The air descends; therefore, it does not allow the air to rise so that the formation can occur, explained Vázquez Montalvo.
Secondly, the Saharan dust in the Atlantic Ocean prevents cyclones from forming. The dust has reached the area very little, he clarified.
Vázquez Montalvo indicated that in August, they expect that the Madden-Julian phase will subside and that the air will rise and favor the formation of clouds. The above will favor the massive entry of humidity and will logically allow the conditions for tropical cyclones to form.
The meteorologist commented that Dr. Philip Klotzbach, from Colorado State University, United States, predicts a hyperactive cyclone season. That represents many formations during the season peak, from August 15 to October 15.
According to predictions, there are 11 tropical storms yet to form, six moderate hurricanes in categories 1 and 2 on the Saffir-Simpson scale, and five intense hurricanes in categories 3, 4, and 5.
It remains the most aggressive forecast that Colorado State University has given since it gave its projections for the Atlantic Ocean, Gulf of Mexico, and Caribbean Sea in 1984 by the late Dr. William Gray.
He reiterated that two tropical storms, Alberto and Cris, had already formed in the Gulf of Mexico. Hurricane Beryl, which formed in the Atlantic, crossed the entire Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico and hit Texas, United States. Yucatán did well. Beryl was a deadly hurricane, causing death in the Little Antilles, Janaima, Grand Cayman, and Texas. The hurricane spared our lives, but it does not mean it will last the whole season. We must prepare, said the meteorologist.
TYT Newsroom
